Slovenia
| FORECAST* | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Economic Indicators | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
| Population, 1000 persons | 2120 | 2127 | 2130 | . | . | . |
| GDP, real change in % | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 2.6 |
| GDP per capita (EUR at PPP) | 35070 | 36120 | 37700 | . | . | . |
| Gross industrial production, real change in % | -5.6 | -1.0 | -1.4 | . | . | . |
| Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 3.5 |
| Average gross monthly wages, EUR | 2221 | 2395 | 2536 | . | . | . |
| Consumer prices, % p.a. | 7.2 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| Fiscal balance in % of GDP | -2.6 | -0.9 | -2.3 | -2.3 | -2.1 | -2.1 |
| Public debt in % of GDP | 68.3 | 66.4 | 65.7 | . | . | . |
| Current account in % of GDP | 4.8 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 3.9 | 4.0 |
| FDI inflow, EUR m | 1399 | 1722 | 1628 | . | . | . |
| Gross external debt in % of GDP | 90.5 | 87.9 | 88.9 | . | . | . |
Basic data are continuously updated.
* Forecasts are changed beginning of January, April, July and November.
See Press Conferences.
publication_icon
Monthly Report No. 04/2026
Vasily Astrov, Ioannis Gutzianas, Marko Hočevar, Mario Holzner, Branimir Jovanović, Sabina Lange and Bernd Christoph Ströhm
wiiw Monthly Report No. 04, April 2026
33 pages including 6 Figures
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Executive summary
Olga Pindyuk
in: The Crisis is Over, but its Scarring Effects are Hindering Recovery
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2024, April 2024 , pp. I-VII
Details
Slovenia’s economic outlook is marked by moderate but resilient growth (2% in 2026), supported primarily by domestic demand; meanwhile external headwinds and structural competitiveness challenges continue to weigh on the outlook. Inflationary pressures stemming from the Iran war, alongside expansionary fiscal policy and strong wage growth, will contribute to sustained inflationary pressures. The result of the parliamentary election held in March 2026 indicates a near-even split between left- and right-leaning blocs, pointing to a potentially protracted coalition-formation process.