Catching-up, Regional Disparities and EU Cohesion Policy:
the Case of Hungary wiiw, 8 March 2004, 3:30 p.m.
Due to
the legacy of the socialist era, there is a general economic
backwardness in Central and Eastern European countries (CEECs)
such as Hungary with respect to the current EU Member States
(EU-15). On the other hand, the transition from centrally planned
economies to market economies and the ongoing integration with
the EU have led to a preoccupying rise of regional inequalities
within the CEECs. With the example of Hungary, which, in this
respect, is close to being a 'typical' transition/accession
country, we try to identify the factors behind dynamic growth
and catching-up to the EU-15 in some regions and falling-behind
and very low per-capita levels of income in others, focusing
on the ubiquitous implications of the transition process. Using
empirical data for the 'transition decade' of the 1990s for
Hungary, we identify the 'winner regions' and the 'loser regions'
of the transition process. By its very definition, EU cohesion
policy has to address both problems (national catching-up vs.
the containment of regional disparities) very attentively after
EU Eastern enlargement. This is a complex issue, as regional
policies often seem to face an equity-efficiency trade-off,
as we briefly analyse in the paper.
Based on this analysis, we discuss how, after EU accession of
Hungary, EU cohesion policy can contribute to attaining higher
national growth (and therefore convergence towards the EU-15)
and, at the same time and central to the analysis in this paper,
contribute to the decrease in regional disparities (something
that traditional infrastructure policies have hardly been capable
of). We use a theoretical approach that combines an endogenous
growth framework with new economic geography. The model we use
shows that - in contrast to transport infrastructure policies
- a policy that reduces the cost of innovation or increases
the diffusion of innovation is able to reduce regional income
inequality, agglomeration and increase the national growth rate.
The regional policies involved could be primarily subsidies
for research and technological development, investment in human
capital or ICT infrastructure. In the final two sections of
the paper, we question whether these regional policy prescriptions
would fall on fertile soil in light of Hungary's economic reality,
and which could be promising EU cohesion policy schemes to incorporate
an innovation-oriented regional policy approach.